What’s the conviction rate for rape? 6%? Some other figure? Don’t know but know it is incredibly low?
The conviction rate for rape is 58%.
Surprised? Would you be even more surprised if I tell you that the conviction rate for all crimes is 57%, therefore the rape conviction rate is on a par with other crimes tried?
I know you will have heard the 6% figure. Everyone has heard the 6% figure. But that figure is not a conviction rate; it is an attrition rate, and it is high time we stopped using it. Why? Because of this:
The first two images tell us why we need to stop using it – there is a perception that the conviction rate for rape is 6% therefore it is highly unlikely that a conviction will follow, therefore people do not want to report the crime. And who can blame them?
I want to see a campaign that yells loudly about the 58% figure. One that says ‘if there is evidence to take this to trial, you are more likely than not to see your offender convicted’ – but also one that is honest about the difficulties in getting a case to trial – not to put people off making a complaint, but to enable them to make a proper, informed and educated assessment of whether they want to make a complaint.
It is unfortunate that Mumsnet, in their We Believe You campaign, have used old research and data to perpetuate myths within the myths they want to see busted – if you look at the bottom of that page for instance, where they summarise their research, you see no mention of The Stern Review, or the very recent HMIC report, and in particular, they repeat the attrition rate without explanation.
So lets have a campaign, one that does shout ‘We believe you’. And not only that we do, but juries are likely to, too.
*Stats from The Stern Review here, and the MoJ http://www.justice.gov.uk/downloads/statistics/mojstats/criminal-statistics-annual.pdf